# Research run 2026-11-14T18:10 UTC ## What changed - Quiet weekend, no new material news on holdings or loves. - Nvidia reports Tue Nov 17 after US close = Wed morning AEDT; date not yet confirmed by Nvidia. - FOMC minutes Wed, Alibaba results Thu before US open = Thu night AEDT. - RBA minutes Tue 11:30 AEDT; US GDP and PCE Wed Nov 25 = Thu morning AEDT. ## Market summary Weekend, markets shut since Friday's close: S&P -0.4%, Nasdaq -0.9% Friday, both up 2%+ on the week. Chips were the weak spot, with NVDA down about 12% on the week. The 10-year touched 5.17% and the last FedWatch reading had a December hike near 77%. Next week is busy: Warsh speaks Mon, then Nvidia earnings, US retail sales and RBA minutes Tue, FOMC minutes Wed, Alibaba Thu, and GDP plus PCE Nov 25. ## Holdings - AMZN: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Down 0.3% Friday in a soft tech tape; no new company news. - AXOS: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Flat, down 0.1%; cheap at 9x forward earnings, no news. - BABA: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Flat Friday; 12x forward earnings, no new catalyst. - ENPH: watch - Weekend, no new company news. Down 2.7% Friday; residential solar demand still weak, no fresh news. - FIGR: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Down 1.8% with risk-off tech tape; no company news. - GOOGL: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Down 1% as Nasdaq slipped; no new company news. - LDI: trim - Weekend, no new company news. Penny-stock range, up 0.3%; no forward earnings estimate, thesis unchanged. - META: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Up 2.9% Friday against a falling Nasdaq; 19x forward earnings. - MRVL: watch - Weekend, no new company news. Down 4.7% Friday after BofA cut; AI chip selloff continues. - MU: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Down 2.5% with chips; forward P/E 4.4 reflects peak memory pricing. - NFLX: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Down 0.9% Friday; no new company news. - NVDA: watch - Weekend, no new company news. Down 2% Friday, 12.75% for the week after CEO exit; earnings Tuesday. - OPENAI: hold - Private; no new mark beyond the round already covered. - RKT: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Flat Friday (0.0%); rates backdrop firmer as yields rise. - STRIPE: hold - Private; no new mark reported. - TSM: hold - Weekend, no new company news. Down 1.7% in chip selloff; demand outlook unchanged. ## Watchlist - ALAB:US Astera Labs - watch (medium) - PCIe/CXL retimers and switches ride AI rack scale-out; Scorpio X seen above $1B run rate by end-2026; BMO Outperform, $375. - AMD:US Advanced Micro Devices - watch (medium) - Instinct GPUs gaining as second source; Huang exit from Nvidia may open share. - AVGO:US Broadcom - accumulate (medium) - Custom AI accelerators (Google TPU, Anthropic) plus networking. - CLS:US Celestica - accumulate (high) - Builds racks and switches for custom-ASIC hyperscalers; Bernstein still Outperform. - SKHY:US SK Hynix (000660) - accumulate (high) - HBM leader; about half of next two years' memory supply already sold. - VRT:US Vertiv - accumulate (medium) - Liquid cooling and power for AI racks; raised its regular dividend Nov 13. - BE:US Bloom Energy - accumulate (medium) - On-site fuel-cell power for data centers; NTT DATA 900 MW deal; HSBC and Barclays positive. - GEV:US GE Vernova - accumulate (high) - Gas turbine backlog sold out for years; JPM says it can weather an AI capex slowdown. - HOOD:US Robinhood - watch (medium) - Platform assets $383B, 28.9M funded customers; adding prediction markets, wealth and RIAs. - MELI:US MercadoLibre - accumulate (medium) - LatAm e-commerce plus fintech; Q3 revenue $10.75B, +45% y/y; held up +1.2% on a weak tech day. - NET:US Cloudflare - accumulate (high) - Q3 revenue +39% y/y; named Leader in 2026 Gartner MQ for Edge Distribution Nov 13; SGLang consortium member. - SE:US Sea Ltd - watch (low) - Shopee, Monee and Garena in SE Asia; Q3 revenue $8.6B beat; $1B buyback. - 6861:JP Keyence - buy (high) - Factory automation sensors with very high margins; Citi Buy (¥95,000). - ASML:US ASML Holding - buy (high) - EUV monopoly; raised 2026 guidance on AI capacity build; buyback running. - TER:US Teradyne - accumulate (medium) - Moving to AI chip test; Jefferies Buy ($284) sees a $2B Nvidia opportunity. ## Calendar changes - added 2026-11-16 MACRO Fed Chair Warsh speaks; China Oct retail sales and industrial output earlier - 2026-11-17-us-retail-sales: 2026-11-17 8:30am ET (Wed 12:30am AEDT) (confirmed) -> 2026-11-17 8:30 ET - 2026-11-17-rba-minutes: 2026-11-17 11:30am AEDT (Mon 7:30pm ET) - TBC -> 2026-11-17 11:30 AEDT - added 2026-11-17 NVDA Nvidia Q3 FY27 earnings (date per calendar, not yet confirmed by Nvidia; some sites say Nov 18) - 2026-11-18-fomc-minutes: 2026-11-18 2:00pm ET (Thu 6:00am AEDT) -> 2026-11-18 14:00 ET - added 2026-11-19 BABA Alibaba September-quarter results - 2026-11-25-us-gdp-pce: 2026-11-25 8:30am ET (Thu 12:30am AEDT) -> 2026-11-25 8:30 ET ## Notes Weekend run (Sat 18:00 UTC). No new material news found. Takes carried over with Friday prices. Anthropic IPO pricing date not reconfirmed this run; left out of calendar. Indicators not refreshed (no weekend data).
Nothing here is financial advice. Holdings and opinions are my own; the "agent" sections are written by an automated research skill and may be wrong. Built 2026-11-14 18:08 UTC.