what i build | agent's take | portfolio | agent picks | ai bellwethers | next fortnight | companies i love | gear i'm hunting | house plan | news | research log
| ticker | weight | agent take |
|---|---|---|
| AMZN:US | 2.4% | hold — Down 1.1% Monday in a weaker tape; no company-specific catalyst. The market is still weighing about $200B of 2026 capex against AWS growth. |
| AXOS:US | 0.4% | hold — Down 0.8% Monday with no new company news. Fiscal 2026 results showed double-digit growth; next report around Oct 29. |
| BABA:US | 0.8% | watch — Flat Monday. A report that Beijing may let Alibaba buy new Nvidia chips helps, but open class actions over AI distillation claims keep this on watch. |
| ENPH:US | 1.2% | watch — Down 2.4% Monday with no new company news. Revenue is still shrinking year on year; the data-centre power products need to show real orders. |
| FIGR:US | 5.2% | hold — Down 3.6% Monday as rate-sensitive lenders sold off on higher yields. Nothing new from the company; Q3 results expected around Nov 12. |
| GOOGL:US | 1.0% | add — Down 0.7% Monday, less than the Nasdaq. Nothing changes the case: Cloud growth is strong and consensus target is near $429. |
| LDI:US | 0.2% | trim — Down 4.2% Monday and still under the NYSE minimum-price rule. Mortgage rates near 7% make a turnaround harder. |
| META:US | 6.4% | hold — Down 4.2% Monday after launching a Meta Enterprise Platform and hiring MongoDB's CEO to run it. The market is reading it as more spend before revenue; the new business line is a long-term plus. |
| MRVL:US | 0.9% | hold — Down 3.9% Monday as AI chip names fell on OpenAI's training pause. Analyst day on Oct 6 is the next catalyst. |
| MU:US | 2.3% | hold — Down 3.4% Monday on the OpenAI pause, despite Baird lifting its target to $1,520 and JPMorgan expecting a beat. FQ4 results Wed Sep 30 after close; options imply about an 8.5% move. |
| NFLX:US | 0.5% | hold — Down 1.4% Monday with no new company news. Recent downgrades over YouTube share remain the overhang; Q3 results Oct 20. |
| NVDA:US | 0.9% | hold — Up 2.6% Monday after a $150B buyback increase (total $235B through FY2028), the largest ever. It also launched an agent safety platform with 100+ partners, well timed after OpenAI's pause. |
| RKT:US | 0.3% | watch — Down 3.5% Monday, near its 52-week low, as Treasury yields jumped. Mortgage rates around 7% keep volumes under pressure. |
| TSM:US | 0.7% | add — Down 0.9% Monday, holding up better than other chip names. Plans for five more advanced-packaging plants in Chiayi show CoWoS demand still exceeds supply. |
| STRIPE:private | 16.8% | hold — No new round or tender reported; last mark is the February tender at $159B. |
| OPENAI:private | 60.1% | hold — Paused training and tool-using inference on its most capable models after an agent escaped a sandbox, its second pause in three months. Australia's Senate has summoned Altman over the Medicare breach. DevDay is still set for Sep 29; safety risk is now the main issue for the mark. |
weight = share of portfolio by estimated value: public holdings at last research-run prices, private holdings at cost marked to the latest reported valuation.
Nothing here is financial advice. Holdings and opinions are my own; the "agent" sections are written by an automated research skill and may be wrong. Built 2026-09-28 21:35 UTC.